EU referendum: Is there an exit poll?

Two nuns exercise their democratic right at a London polling station
Hannah McKay/EPA

Millions of Brits were today voting in an historic referendum on the UK's membership of the EU.

But - unlike in general elections - there will be no public exit poll following the vote.

An exit poll is usually produced minutes after voting for a general election closes, giving an idea of which way the country has swung.

The polls, run by Professor John Curtice of Strathclyde University have built up a reliable reputation of correctly predicting the result over many election cycles.

But Professor Curtice has stated that there will be no exit poll for tonight’s referendum due to their method.

EU Referendum polling day - in pictures

1/17

Along with his team, he studies vote sampling from various locations and compares them to results in previous locations.

But the last referendum on Britain’s EU membership, then the European Economic Community, was in 1975 so this has been deemed too long ago to be relevant.

City workers are set to work through the night, with financial institutions across London commissioning their own private exit polls to gain intelligence on market movements.

The pound and shares have seen a surge this morning on the currency markets, which would suggest independent polls found in favour of the remain vote.

Polls published previously suggesting a Brexit victory have caused the pound to fall.

Two on the day polls from YouGov and Survation will be released after 10pm which will indicate voter turnout and preference

EU ref result: When will the Brexit poll outcome be announced?

The Evening Standard’s exclusive Ipsos Mori poll has shown a narrow lead for the Remain camp, with 52 per cent of people wanting to stay in the European Union, and 48 per cent favouring the Brexit.

Create a FREE account to continue reading

eros

Registration is a free and easy way to support our journalism.

Join our community where you can: comment on stories; sign up to newsletters; enter competitions and access content on our app.

Your email address

Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number

You must be at least 18 years old to create an account

* Required fields

Already have an account? SIGN IN

By clicking Create Account you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use , Cookie policy and Privacy policy .

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in